Serie A - (28-Jan-2007)

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Twisted - but gifted - Serie A analyst
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Sep 26, 2006
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Greetings,

Tough Serie A card, but will attempt to navigate the mine field as follows:

Siena at ROMA - Without Totti, you might be asking too much for a two goal victory. Nonetheless, a win will provide a psychological boost for next week road trip to Inter Milan. Roma has allowed only 6 goals at home. Siena is sturdy on the road, having allowed 9 goals against, while scoring only 6. Can't see Siena scoring, and don't like to couple the under while spotting a goal.
The play:
AS ROMA under 2.5 -110 (3.5 units)

Catania at ATALANTA - Catania's 25 goals allowed on the road are the worst in the league (tied with Livorno). Couple this with Atalanta, who is surging and could vault over Catania with a victory, and you a play for the side and total.
The play:
ATALANTA -0.5 -129 (3.5 units)
ATALANTA over 2.5 -115 (4 units)

Parma at AC MILAN - Probably the best bargain for an over.
The play:
AC MILAN over 2.5 -112 (5 units)

Inter Milan at SAMPDORIA - Don't think Sampdoria will be able to beat INTER MILAN, although they might just be able to hold them to a draw.
The play:
SAMPDORIA +0.5 and +1 -114 (5 units)

Empoli at CHIEVO VERONA - Empoli's defensive prowess has returned and is showing signs that they belong in the top four. They should be able to exploit Chievo's brutally inconsistent defense for a rare road victory (or at least a draw). Many on the European books will be pounding Chievo, I will be on the other side.
The play:
Empoli pk and +0.5 +104 (9 units)


MA says: Tough Serie A card. For those considering one play in Serie A,
please consider Empoli at PK and +0.5. I stayed away from jumping on the
Fiorentina bandwagon, who, in theory, should have a field day with Livorno. But in Serie A, be prepared for the unexpected....

Cheers,

MA
 

Twisted - but gifted - Serie A analyst
Joined
Sep 26, 2006
Messages
1,383
Tokens
Catania scoring at 89 minute to ruin split with Atalanta play. Would actually have survived the early games nicely (would be up 1.48), if Atalanta had held on for the victory.

Empoli - only mistake I made here was not playing the draw on the three
way line. Either that, or play more units on Empoli, has I did not see Empoli
losing. (0-0 final)

Roma: under was better than I expected.

Milan: Too enigmatic for my blood. Can't figure this team out. Period!

Sampdoria - at plus 1.5 this would be a grate play. I'll take my chances at
+0.5 and +1, and see what happens. Sense that last 10 minutes of this game will decided the total and the side...Good luck to all.

MA
 

Twisted - but gifted - Serie A analyst
Joined
Sep 26, 2006
Messages
1,383
Tokens
the mad actuarian said:
Greetings,

Tough Serie A card, but will attempt to navigate the mine field as follows:

Siena at ROMA - Without Totti, you might be asking too much for a two goal victory. Nonetheless, a win will provide a psychological boost for next week road trip to Inter Milan. Roma has allowed only 6 goals at home. Siena is sturdy on the road, having allowed 9 goals against, while scoring only 6. Can't see Siena scoring, and don't like to couple the under while spotting a goal.
The play:
AS ROMA under 2.5 -110 (3.5 units)
ROMA 1 Siena 0

Catania at ATALANTA - Catania's 25 goals allowed on the road are the worst in the league (tied with Livorno). Couple this with Atalanta, who is surging and could vault over Catania with a victory, and you a play for the side and total.
The play:
ATALANTA -0.5 -129 (3.5 units)
ATALANTA over 2.5 -115 (4 units)
ATALANTA 1 Catania 1

Parma at AC MILAN - Probably the best bargain for an over.
The play:
AC MILAN over 2.5 -112 (5 units)
AC MILAN 1 Parma 0

Inter Milan at SAMPDORIA - Don't think Sampdoria will be able to beat INTER MILAN, although they might just be able to hold them to a draw.
The play:
SAMPDORIA +0.5 and +1 -114 (5 units)
Inter Milan 2 Sampdoria 0
(this game, and play, were toast at the 6th minute mark. Red card to Samp removed any chance...)

Empoli at CHIEVO VERONA - Empoli's defensive prowess has returned and is showing signs that they belong in the top four. They should be able to exploit Chievo's brutally inconsistent defense for a rare road victory (or at least a draw). Many on the European books will be pounding Chievo, I will be on the other side.
The play:
Empoli pk and +0.5 +104 (9 units)
Empoli 0 CHIEVO 0


MA says: Tough Serie A card. For those considering one play in Serie A,
please consider Empoli at PK and +0.5. I stayed away from jumping on the
Fiorentina bandwagon, who, in theory, should have a field day with Livorno. But in Serie A, be prepared for the unexpected....

Cheers,

MA

Serie A Sunday: W2-L4-T1 (-12.235 units)

WEEK TOTALS
Jan-22 to Jan 28: W9-L7-T2
(+7.495 units)

MA
 

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